PSY 1305 Chapter Notes - Chapter 1-4: Hindsight Bias, Illusory Correlation, Confirmation Bias
Document Summary
A- hindsight bias, overconfidence, and human"s tendency to see patterns; we tend to overestimate our odds. Hindsight bias- the phenomenon that you knew something all along after finding out the outcome. Overconfidence is negatively correlated with what you know. The more wrong a person is about a topic, the more confident they feel they are right about that topic. Someone who knows nothing, thinks they know everything. We seek for information that confirms our beliefs. Humans tend to perceive patterns to make sense of the world and tend to remember vivid cases more easily (availability heuristic). This mental shortcut can influence how we think about issues. Critical thinking- looking at the evidence and considering the credibility of sources before accepting an argument or making a conclusion. A- curiosity to explore, skepticism in asking more questions, and humility to our own errors. A- theory: an explanation that organizes our observations to predict events and behaviors.
