POLI 244 Chapter Notes -Spiral Model, Handicap Principle, Security Dilemma
10 Jan 2013
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Strategies of terrorism (kydd and walter: terrorism often works. 1980-2003 half of all suicide terrorist campaigns closely followed by substantial concessions by the targeted governments: terrorist recruitment based on poverty, education, political freedom, causes governments to respond in ways that aid terrorists" cause. 9/11 meant to raise the costs for us supporting israel and other arab regimes, and to provoke them into a military response, mobilizing. But actors have incentive to lie or bluff so must resort to costly signals communications would help actions so costly that bluffers and liars are unwilling to take them (international crisis, mobilizing, etc: terrorists act for two audiences. Best responses to provocation: discriminating strategy that inflicts as little collateral damage as possible, isolate targets from the general population. Conditions favorable to outbidding: best when multiple groups competing for the allegiance of a similar demographic base.
