BIO 301D Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Confirmation Bias, Scientific Method, Conjunction Fallacy
Document Summary
Easy evidence that our brains can mislead us: Assume we all interpreted the statement the same . Mistakes - we are all prone to making errors (some more than others) Con rmation bias - we look for evidence that supports our views (number triplet exercise from class) Dunning-kruger effect: the ill-informed can have a vastly in ated view of their understanding. Some statements more prone to have a right answer than others. Some statements based on math - here there is a correct answer and we can prove what the answer is. For math - we can work out an answer from rst principles. Most statements were evidence-based (= science); lack of consensus comes partly from the fact that we need to use science/evidence. For science, we need data/evidence/observations + even then, we may not be sure. Some lack of consensus in science is xable by using the scienti c method - helps us improve consensus but not eliminate it.