PSC 441 Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Franz Von Paula Schrank, Causal Inference, Natural Experiment
Document Summary
Growth and development spur improvements in government. Historical context is a key factor in the type of linguistic accommodation sought by minorities. Causal statement: statement about what didn"t happen. If y would not have happened without x. If betty had not smoked for so many years, betty would not have gotten lung cancer. Counterfactual: if better did not smoke for many years, she would not have gotten lung cancer. If the electoral college did not exist, hillary clinton would have won the election. We can never directly measure causal effects. We can never look at the same unit both with treatment and without the treatment at the same point in time. An increase in x is associated with an increase / decrease in y. Explain why you expect your iv to affect your dv. Probabilistic: causal mechanism increases or decreases likelihood. Inductive observations: info you have at your immediate disposal. Deductive observations: info gathered using logic and reasoning.
