POLI 210 Lecture Notes - Lecture 3: Causal Inference, World Trade Organization, Confounding

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Guest speaker: prof. baccini causality and causal inference; a multi method perspective https://sites. google. com/site/leonardobaccini/ Private guards and victimization: confounding factors: wealth, geographical area, People who hired a guard had a higher victimization rate. People who hire a guard are different, they are more wealthy (more likely to be a target), each person has their own reasons for hiring a guard. People who hire a guard are more likely to have been victimized in the past so are already a target. Geographical area related to wealth as well: hiring a guard does not have a direct correlation as a causal affect of being a victim of burglary, causal effect is difference in potential outcome due to treatment, 1. Randomly assign guards in ba all over the city and then assess the causality of having a guard: do people really know what they are answering? (survey)

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