ECO-2013 Lecture Notes - Lecture 10: Permanent Income Hypothesis, Business Cycle, Real Interest Rate
Document Summary
The interest rate is inversely related to how much households consume and business invest. Interest rates rises: shifts ad curve left: changes in the expectations of businesses and households about the future. Measured by the consumer sentiment index: changes in the expected rate of inflation. Expect inflation to increase: spend more now (ad curve shifts right) Expect inflation to decrease: spend less now (ad curve shifts left: changes in income abroad. Foreign income decreases: ad shifts left: changes in exchange rates. Shifters of aggregate demand (ad): changes in real wealth. Increase in real wealth: shifts ad curve right. Decrease in real wealth: shifts ad curve left: changes in the real interest rate. Shifters of long-run aggregate supply (lras): change in resource base, change in level of technology, change in institutional arrangements that affect productivity. Productivity: average output produced per worker during a specific time period.