ECON102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 18: Deflation, Aggregate Supply, Real Wages

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Econ 102 lecture 17 chapter 12 & chapter 13. Rational expectation: the best forecast available is one that is based on all the relevant information. The price level falls persistently if aggregate demand increases at a persistently slower rate than aggregate supply. Inflation rate = money growth rate + rate of velocity change real gdp growth rate. Money growth rate < real gdp growth rate rate of velocity change. Unanticipated deflation redistributes income and wealth, lowers real gdp and employment, and diverts resources from production. Make the money growth rate exceed the growth rate of real gdp minus the rate of velocity change. With a higher real wage, firms hire fewer workers. Growth rate of money supply + 0 = inflation + economic growth. If % m < % y, the result will be deflation. Less spending on capital lead to slower growth in the economy (potential gdp). Recall the quantity theory of money and the fisher effect.

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