ECON282 Lecture Notes - Lecture 31: Real Interest Rate, Output Gap, Demand Shock

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yellowantelope115

4 Apr 2018

School

University of Alberta

Department

Economics

Course

ECON282

Professor

Alexander Gainer

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Document Summary

Anything (besides r) that increases spending, c,i nx shifts the is curve right and vice versa. i. e. positive demand shock shifts is curve right. If interest rate is @ 4 % and output gap is at 2% then it means the economy is 2% above potential gdp. When the real interest falls, c,i,bx will increase and the output gap will increase too. Tells us how central bank"s interest rates effect output gap. Short-term nominal interest rates and long-term real interest rates: Long term nominal interest= average of the short run interest rates + term structure effect. Example: interest rate on a 3 year bond begins jan 1 2018 expires dec. 31. 2020 i. e. bo(cid:374)ds supplied by the go(cid:448)"t (cid:449)ith differe(cid:374)t ti(cid:373)e periods. Therefore, rlt = ilt - e , and rlt = i + tse + dp - e. Long temr nominal interest rates are related to short run nominal interest rates:

Related Questions

The demand for money
A) d and e are correct
B) all of the following are correct
C) decreases as the average selling price of a unit of outputincreases
D) increases as GDP increases
E) is increased by credit card usage
2. The higher the interest rate, the more of their wealth peoplewill hold as money.
A) True
B) False
3. The money demand curve slopes
A) downward because the cost of holding money decreases as theinterest rate decreases
B) downward because the cost of holding money increases as theinterest rate decreases
C) upward because people demand more money as GDP increases
D) upward because people demand more money as GDP decreases
E) downward because people demand more money as the price levelincreases
4. Which of the following, other things constant, will shift themoney demand curve to the left?
A) an increase in the interest rate
B) a decrease in the interest rate
C) a decrease in real GDP
D) an increase in real GDP
E) an increase in the price level
5. An increase in the money supply will
A) increase the demand for money at each interest rate
B) decrease the demand for money at each interest rate
C) lead people to try to exchange money for interest-bearingassets
D) lead people to try to exchange interest-bearing assets formoney
E) increase the interest rate
6. When an increase in the money supply reduces the interest rate,investment and nominal GDP increase.
A) True
B) False
7. In the short run, a decrease in the money supply will cause adecrease in Gross Domestic Product and a decrease in the pricelevel.
A) True
B) False
8. The demand curve for investment is graphed with __________ onthe vertical axis and __________ on the horizontal axis.
A) the interest rate; investment
B) investment; the interest rate
C) the price level; investment
D) investment; the price level
E) real GDP; investment
9. As the interest rate increases,
A) the demand for investment curve shifts to the right
B) the demand for investment curve shifts to the left
C) there is a movement downward along the demand for investmentcurve
D) there is a movement upward along the demand for investmentcurve
E) GDP increases
10. If the economy experiences a contractionary gap and the Fedstimulates the economy, then:
A) The money supply is increasing because the Fed prints moremoney
B) The money supply is decreasing because the Fed hoardsmoney
C) The money supply is increasing because the Fed makes open-marketpurchases
D) The money supply is decreasing because the Fed makes open-marketsales
E) There is no change in the money supply because the Fed cannotinfluence the money supply
11. If the Fed decreases the money supply, GDP
A) increases because the resulting increase in the interest rateleads to a decrease in investment
B) increases because the resulting decrease in the interest rateleads to an increase in investment
C) decreases because the resulting increase in the interest rateleads to a decrease in investment
D) decreases because the resulting increase in the interest rateleads to an increase in investment
E) decreases because the resulting decrease in the interest rateleads to an increase in investment
12. An increase in the money supply can increase the price level,real GDP, or both, but it is impossible to tell exactly what willhappen without knowing the slope of the aggregate supplycurve.
A) True
B) False
13. If the economy experiences an expansionary gap and the Fedsells US government securities in the open-market, then:
A) Money supply increases, investment increases, aggregate demandincreases
B) Money supply increases, the interest rate increases, and theaggregate demand increases
C) Money supply decreases, the interest rate decreases, and theaggregate demand falls
D) Money supply decreases, the investment decreases, and theaggregate demand decreases
E) Interest rate falls, investment falls, aggregate demandincreases
14. If the money supply equals $1,000 and nominal GDP equals$3,000, then V
A) equals 1/3
B) equals 3
C) equals 3 million
D) cannot be determined since we do not know anything aboutprices
E) cannot be determined since we do not know anything about realGDP
15. If the money supply is increasing at a constant 8 percent,velocity is constant, real GDP is increasing at 5 percent, and theinflation rate is 3 percent, which of the following is true?
A) The growth rate of GDP is too low to be maintained.
B) The inflation rate is too low to be maintained.
C) Velocity is too low to be maintained.
D) The money supply growth rate is too low to be maintained.
E) This situation can continue indefinitely.
16. If real output and velocity are stable and predictable, thenthe equation of exchange can be used to derive a simplerelationship between
A) the money supply and the price level
B) the money supply and the interest rate
C) the money supply and the foreign exchange rate
D) velocity and real GDP
E) velocity and nominal GDP
17. For the quantity theory of money to yield usefulpredictions,
A) fiscal policy must be ineffective in altering aggregatedemand
B) fiscal policy must be effective in altering aggregatedemand
C) the economy must be operating at the potential level of realGross Domestic Product
D) velocity must be stable or predictable
E) velocity must be unstable
18. A rising rate of inflation
A) makes people more willing to hold money as an asset
B) reduces the usefulness of money as a store of value and thusincreases the velocity of money
C) increases the usefulness of money as a medium of exchange andthus reduces the velocity of money
D) is usually preceded by a reduction in the money supply
E) does not, apparently, have any effect on the velocity ofmoney
19. There is considerable disagreement about whether the Fedshould
A) engage in open market operations
B) have the power to set reserve requirements
C) reduce the money supply when the economy is growing
D) allow banks to invest in the stock market
E) attempt to control interest rates or should instead attempt tocontrol the money supply
20. For interest rates to remain stable during economic expansions,the growth rate of the money supply should
A) exceed the growth in the demand for money
B) just match the growth in the demand for money
C) be less than the growth in the demand for money
D) be zero
E) just match the growth in nominal GDP

salmonpug424

MBA502, Economics for Business

Apply and Discover 7.2

You are responsible for economic policymaking in your country. Your desire is to eliminate inflation, keeping prices absolutely stable at P = 100, no matter what happens to output. Currently, the economy is in equilibrium at Q = 3200 (where Q = potential GDP) and P = 100. You can use monetary and fiscal policies to affect aggregate demand but you cannot affect aggregate supply in the short run. How would you respond to the following scenarios?

Explain and illustrate how each of these events would affect aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and prices, then explain how you would respond with economic policies.

1. A surprise increase in investment spending

In the short run, when investment spending increases, it results in an increase in Aggregate Demand (AD), which in turn pushes up both GPD and the price index.

To counterbalance this development, government might pursue contractionary fiscal policy by increasing taxes (to reduce consumption) or decreasing its own investment and spending so that the AD curve shifts back to its original position. Alternatively, the government can pursue contractionary monetary policy by reducing money supply and increasing interest rate to discourage economic activity.

2. Catastrophic floods that cause a sharp food price increase

In this case, sharp food shortages and consequent price increases cause a shock-type adjustment of the aggregate supply curve (it shift up and to the left). The result is a lower GDP and a higher price level.

The government cannot do anything to adjust AS in the short run. However, if the goal is to maintain the price level constant, the government can decide to do something to decrease the aggregate demand to force prices to come down, though it will be accompanies by another contraction in GDP and so it would not be a smart thing to do.

To cause AD to decrease, the government, similar to example above, can pursue fiscal policy (increase taxes, decrease spending) or monetary policy (reduce supply of money to the economy and thus increase interest rates).

3. A productivity decline that reduces potential output

In this case, AS shifts to the left, as was the case in example 2. As a result, price levels go up, as the same amount of money is chasing the reduced amount of goods and services, and GDP declines.

Government remedies here would be centered about causing AD to decrease through contractionary fiscal (higher taxes, lower spending) or monetary (reduce money supply and increase interest rates) policy. Again, this decision reduces inflation but at expense of GDP, as real output shrinks further.

4. A deep depression in East Asia that causes a sharp decrease in net exports to the United States

A decrease in exports of goods to from the United States to Asia will mean that the aggregate demand (which includes net exports

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TRUE / FALSE

1. True False In the aggregate expenditures model presented in the textbook,

investment is assumed to rise with increases in real GDP and fall with decreases in real GDP.

2. True False When C + I_g = GDP in a private closed economy, S = I_g and there are no unplanned changes in inventories.

3. True False The risk-free interest rate is the rate on long-term U.S. government bonds.

4. True False Bond prices and interest rates are directly or positively related.

5. True False The public debt is the accumulation of all deficits and surpluses that have occurred through time.

6. True False The M₂ money supply may be larger or smaller than the M₁ money supply depending on the size of small-denominated time deposit balances and Money Market Mutual Fund balances held by individuals.

7. True False Excess reserves are the amount by which required reserves exceed actual reserves.

8. True False The public debt is held as Treasury bills, Treasury notes, Treasury bonds, and U.S. savings bonds.

9. True False The equilibrium price level and equilibrium level of real GDP occur at the intersection of the aggregate demand curve and the aggregate supply curve.

10. True False Investment is highly stable; it increases over time at a very steady rate.

MULTIPLE CHOICE

11. A recessionary expenditure gap is:

A. the amount by which the full-employment GDP exceeds the level of aggregate expenditures.

B. the amount by which equilibrium GDP falls short of the full-employment GDP.

C. the amount by which investment exceeds saving at the full-employment GDP.

D. the amount by which aggregate expenditures exceed the full-employment level of GDP.

12. The multiplier effect indicates that:

A. a decline in the interest rate will cause a proportionately larger increase in investment.

B. a change in spending will change aggregate income by a larger amount.

C. a change in spending will increase aggregate income by the same amount.

D. an increase in total income will generate a larger change in aggregate expenditures.

13. Which one of the following is true about the U.S. Federal Reserve System?

There are 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks.

B. The head of the U.S. Treasury also chairs the Federal Reserve Board.

C. There are 14 members of the Federal Reserve Board.

D. The Open Market Committee is smaller in size than the Federal Reserve Board.

14. If the nominal interest rate is 18 percent and the real interest rate is 6 percent, the inflation rate is:

A. 18 percent.

B. 24 percent.

C. 12 percent.

D. 6 percent.

15.

Refer to the above diagram for a private closed economy. The equilibrium level of GDP is:

A. $400.

B. $300.

C. $200.

D. $100.

16. Which of the following represents the most expansionary fiscal policy?

A. a $10 billion tax cut

B. a $10 billion increase in government spending

C. a $10 billion tax increase

D. a $10 billion decrease in government spending

17.

Refer to the above table. The economy shown is a:

A. private economy.

B. private open economy.

C. mixed closed economy.

D. mixed open economy.

18. Currency held in the vault of First National Bank is:

A. counted as part of M₁.

B. counted as part of M₂, but not M₁.

C. only counted as part of M₁ if it was deposited into a checking account.

D. not counted as part of the money supply.

19. If the dollar appreciates relative to foreign currencies, we would expect:

A. the multiplier to decrease.

B. the country's exports and imports to both fall.

C. the country's net exports to rise.

D. the country's net exports to fall.

20. The most important determinant of consumption and saving is the:

A. level of bank credit.

B. level of income.

C. interest rate.

D. price level.

21. The multiple by which the commercial banking system can increase the supply of money on the basis of each dollar of excess reserves is equal to:

A. the reciprocal of the required reserve ratio.

B. 1 minus the required reserve ratio.

C. the reciprocal of the income velocity of money.

D. 1/MPS.

22. Which one of the following would not shift the aggregate demand curve?

A. a change in the price level

B. depreciation of the international value of the dollar

C. a decline in the interest rate at each possible price level

D. an increase in personal income tax rate

23. The cyclically-adjusted budget tells us:

A. that in a full-employment economy the Federal budget should be in balance.

B. that tax revenues should vary inversely with GDP.

C. what the size of the Federal budget deficit or surplus would be if the economy was at full

employment.

D. the actual budget deficit or surplus realized in any given year.

24. The aggregate supply curve:

A. is explained by the interest rate, real-balances, and foreign purchases effects.

B. gets steeper as the economy moves from the top of the curve to the bottom of the curve.

C. shows the various amounts of real output that businesses will produce at each price level.

D. is downsloping because real purchasing power increases as the price level falls.

25.

Refer to the above diagram. If the equilibrium price level is P₁, then:

A. aggregate demand is AD₂.

B. the equilibrium output level is Q₃.

C. the equilibrium output level is Q₂.

D. producers will supply output level Q₁

26. Discretionary fiscal policy refers to:

A. any change in government spending or taxes that destabilizes the economy.

B. the authority that the President has to change personal income tax rates.

C. intentional changes in taxes and government expenditures made by Congress to stabilize the economy.

D. the changes in taxes and transfers that occur as GDP changes.

27.

Refer to the above diagram. Which tax system has the most built-in stability?

A. T₄

B. T₃

C. T₂

D. T₁

28.

Refer to the given graph. A shift of the consumption schedule from C₁ to C₂ might be caused by a(n):

A.	recession.

B.	wealth effect of an increase in stock market prices.

C.	increase in income tax rates.

D.	increase in saving.

29. When a bank loan is repaid the supply of money:

A. is constant, but its composition will have changed.

B. is decreased.

C. is increased.

D. may either increase or decrease.

30. The Federal budget deficit is found by:

A. subtracting government tax revenues plus government borrowing from government spending in a particular year.

B. subtracting government tax revenues from government spending in a particular year.

C. cumulating the differences between government spending and tax revenues over all years since the nation's founding.

D. subtracting government revenues from the noninvestment-type government spending in a particular year.

31.

Refer to the above information. Money supply M₁ for this economy is:

A. $ 60.

B. $ 70.

C. $ 130.

D. $ 140.

32. Which of the following statements is true as a result of Federal Reserve efforts to rescue the financial industry from the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008?

From February 2008, to May 2009, the Fed oversaw the consolidation of 20 major financial institutions into fewer than a dozen.

B. From March 2008, to February 2009, the Fed experienced a 50 percent decline in the value of assets held.

C. From February 2008, to March 2009, Fed assets more than doubled to nearly $2 trillion.

D. From February 2008, to March 2009, Fed lending caused the U.S. public debt to rise by over $1 trillion.

33. Which of the following is the basic economic policy function of the Federal Reserve Banks?

holding the deposits or reserves of commercial banks

B. acting as fiscal agents for the Federal government

C. controlling the supply of money

D. the collection or clearing of checks among commercial banks

34. In a fractional reserve banking system:

A. bank panics cannot occur.

B. the monetary system must be backed by gold.

C. banks can create money through the lending process.

D. the Federal Reserve has no control over the amount of money in circulation.

35.

Refer to the diagram that applies to a private closed economy. The APC is equal to 1 at income level:

36. Assume the Continental National Bank's balance statement is as follows:

Assuming a legal reserve ratio of 20 percent, how much in excess reserves would this bank have after a check for $10,000 was drawn and cleared against it?

A. $ 3,000

B. $ 24,000

C. $ 6,000

D. $ 16,000

37. Answer the question on the basis of the following table for a commercial bank or thrift:

Refer to the above table. When the legal reserve ratio is 25 percent, the excess reserves of this single bank are:

A. $0.

B. $1,000.

C. $5,000.

D. $30,000.

38. Which of the following is a tool of monetary policy?

A. open market operations

B. changes in banking laws

C. changes in tax rates

D. changes in government spending

39. An increase in nominal GDP increases the demand for money because:

A. interest rates will rise.

B. more money is needed to finance a larger volume of transactions.

C. bond prices will fall.

D. the opportunity cost of holding money will decline.

40. Answer the next question on the basis of the following table:

At equilibrium in the above market for money, the total amount of money demanded is:

A. $500.

B. $480.

C. $460.

D. $440.

41. For most financial assets investors must be compensated for:

A. non-diversifiable and diversifiable risk.

B. diversifiable risk and time preference.

C. non-diversifiable risk and time preference.

D. non-diversifiable and diversifiable risk, and time preference.

42. Reserves must be deposited in the Federal Reserve Banks by:

A. only commercial banks which are members of the Federal Reserve System.

B. all depository institutions, that is, all commercial banks and thrift institutions.

C. state chartered commercial banks only.

D. federally chartered commercial banks only.

43.

Refer to the diagrams. Assuming a constant price level, an increase in aggregate expenditures from AE₁to AE₂ would:

A.	move the economy from A to C along AD₁.

B.	move the economy from C to A along AD₁.

C.	increase aggregate demand from AD₁ to AD₂.

D.	decrease aggregate demand from AD₂ to AD₁.

44. The discount rate is the interest:

A. rate at which the central banks lend to the U.S. Treasury.

B. rate at which the Federal Reserve Banks lend to commercial banks.

C. yield on long-term government bonds.

D. rate at which commercial banks lend to the public.

45. What concept describes how quickly an investment increases in value when interest is paid not only on the original amount invested, but also on the accumulated interest payments?

A. present value

B. future value

C. compound interest

D. real rate of interest

46. The aggregate demand curve:

A. is upsloping because a higher price level is necessary to make production profitable as production costs rise.

B. is downsloping because production costs decline as real output increases.

C. shows the amount of expenditures required to induce the production of each possible level of real output.

D. shows the amount of real output that will be purchased at each possible price level.

47. The Security Market Line depicts the relationship between the:

A. average expected rate of return on stocks and the average expected rate of return on bonds.

B. average expected rate of return of a financial asset and the discount rate.

C. risk level of a financial asset and the prime interest rate.

D. average expected rate of return and risk level of a financial asset.

48. Arbitrage causes all financial assets:

A. of the same risk level to have the same price.

B. to have the same expected rate of return.

C. to have the same beta.

D. of the same risk level to have the same average expected rate of return.

49.

Refer to the diagrams. The numbers in parentheses after the AD₁, AD₂, and AD₃ labels indicate the levels of investment spending associated with each curve. All figures are in billions. If the money supply is MS₁ and the goal of the monetary authorities is full-employment output Q_f, they should:

A.	increase the money supply from $80 to $100.

B.	increase the money supply from $80 to $120.

C.	maintain the money supply at $80.

D.	decrease the money supply from $80 to $60.

50. Given the expected rate of return on all possible investment opportunities in the economy:

A. an increase in the real rate of interest will reduce the level of investment.

B. a decrease in the real rate of interest will reduce the level of investment.

C. a change in the real interest rate will have no impact on the level of investment.

D. an increase in the real interest rate will increase the level of investment.

END OF THE EXAM

ECON282 Lecture Notes - Lecture 31: Real Interest Rate, Output Gap, Demand Shock

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