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ECON282 Lecture Notes - Lecture 36: Real Interest Rate, Capital Outflow, Output Gap

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School
University of Alberta
Department
Economics
Course
ECON282
Professor
Alexander Gainer

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Document Summary

An unexpected shock that causes that causes a movement a long the curve. When output goes up or down, it is a shift along the philips curve. If businesses become pessimistic with future sales the real interest rate _____no change___________, the output gap __falls_____________, and inflation _rises____. A change in inflation expectation impacts (shifts) the mp curve and the philips curve. If dp/tse/nominal interest rates increase/decrease, it will shift the mp curve up/down but not the philips curve ( it will be a movement along the philips curve) Example: suppose the economy is in equilibrium with an output gap equal to zero and the actual inflation rate equals the expected inflation rate. If the federal government increases infrastructure spending and the central bank intervenes to ensure inflation does not change, the overall effect will be real interest rates ___increase_____ and the output gap __no change _. Is-mp in an open economy with a flexible exchange rate:

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Related Questions

a) In the AD-AS model, stagflation does not persist, because the working of the self-correcting mechanism of the economy _____ the level of output and _____ the price level until the economy eventually returns to a long-run equilibrium state, where actual output _____ potential output.
decreases; decreases; falls short of
increases; decreases; equals
decreases; increases; exceeds
decreases; increases; equals
increases; decreases; exceeds
b) The LRAS curve is drawn as a vertical line at potential output (Y*) to indicate that
Y* is independent of the price level and that actual output Y > Y* in the long run
Y* equals actual output (Y) in the long run
Y* is independent of the price level and that actual output Y = Y* in the long run
Y* is independent of the price level
Y* is independent of the price level and that actual output Y < Y* in the long run
c) Stagflation arises in the context of the AD-AS model when some external factor causes
the LRAS curve to shift to the right
the AD curve to shift leftwards
the SRAS curve to shift downwards
the SRAS curve to shift upwards
the AD curve to shift rightwards
d) If the SRAS curve is positively sloped, then a decrease in the demand for Canadian-made goods in Europe will lead to _____ in the price level, in the short run.
either an increase or a decrease
no change
an increase
a decrease
an initial increase, and then a decrease
e) Which of the following will shift the aggregate demand curve to the right?
Consumers become pessimistic about the future
A new technology is developed that will increase profits
Income taxes are raised
Foreign economies fall into recession, reducing their demand for domestic exports
The government reduces purchases to balance the budget
f) Suppose a stock market crash decreases the stock of household wealth and therefore causes autonomous consumption to fall. Which of the following is the likely result?
A leftward shift the AD curve
There will be no movement of the AD curve
A movement down the AD curve
A movement up the AD curve
A rightward of the shift the AD curve
g) An economy is characterized by the AD equation P = 200 ? 0.02Y, SRAS equation P = 100 and LRAS equation Y* = 5000. In the absence of any change in policy or exogenous shocks, this economy will achieve a long-run price level of
100
110
120
90
105
h) The AD-AS model depicts a self-correcting economy. This means that the price level in the model adjusts automatically in response to a(n) _____ gap, so as to eliminate the _____ gap in the long run, without requiring any help from government policies.
recessionary; recessionary
recessionary; expansionary
expansionary; expansionary
output; output
expansionary; recessionary
i) The aggregate demand curve shows
the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at the current price level
the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at an average price level
the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at a constant price level
the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at various price levels
the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at last year's price level
j) Consider an economy initially at long-run equilibrium with output (Y) equal to potential output (Y*). If the SRAS is positively sloped, then a shift to the right of the AD curve will lead to _____ in the price level, in the short run. In the long run, the SRAS curve will shift to the _____ and the equilibrium will be at __________.
an increase; left; Y = Y*
a decrease; right; Y > Y*
an increase; right; Y = Y*
a decrease; left; Y > Y*
no change; left; Y = Y*

1. The opportunity cost of holding money is the:___.

a. nominal interest rate.

b. unemployment rate.

c. federal funds rate.

d. prevailing mortgage rate.

2. If government debt is not changing, then:___.

a. the economy is at long-run equilibrium.

b. the government’s budget must be balanced.

c. GDP must equal the natural rate of output.

d. capital per worker is constant.

3.The Taylor rule for monetary policy relates the output gap and inflation to the:___.

a. velocity of money.

b. reserve requirement on deposits.

c. federal funds rate.

d. meeting schedule of the FOMC

4. The inside lag is the:___.

A) time between a shock to the economy and the policy action responding to that shock.

B) time between a policy action and its influence on the economy.

C) time between a shock to the economy and the influence on the economy of a policy action.

D) difference between the time it takes to implement monetary policy and the time it takes to implement fiscal policy.

Short answer?

What causes shifts in the IS or LM curves?

1. Which of the following shifts aggregate demand to the right?
a. Congress reduces purchases of new weapons systems.
b. US exports increase.
c. The price level falls
d. New developments in IT increase the productivity of most manufacturing industries in the US.

2. Suppose the EPA introduces new smog regulation that makes it costlier to produce cars. As a result, aggregate supply falls (primary effect) and firms cut back on production. With less output in the economy available for consumers, consumers bid up the prices of available output. With higher prices, firms choose to produce more (secondary effect).
Which of the following best explains what the net effect on GDP?
a. The two effects should essentially cancel out, with little to no effect on GDP, but the price level clearly rises.
b. It is impossible to say what happens to GDP without being able to compare the magnitudes of the two effects.
c. Real GDP rises as the secondary effect dominates the primary effect.
d. Real GDP falls since the primary effect dominates the secondary effect.

3. A Keynesian economist who observes an output gap would conclude that
a. aggregate demand should be shifted to the right.
b. a policy of deregulation would be better than demand management policy
c. aggregate supply should be shifted to the right
d. All proposed answer options are correct

4. Monetarists believe
a. the Aggregate Supply curve is upward-sloping (but not vertical) over all time frames.
b. the Aggregate Supply curve can be treated as horizontal in the long run (over 10 years
c. the Aggregate Supply curve is vertical only in the very long run (over 20 years).
d. the Aggregate Supply curve can be treated as vertical in the short-to-medium run (1-2 years)

5. Suppose the price of oil increases due to conflict in the Middle East. How will this be illustrated in the AD-AS model?
a. The aggregate demand curve will shift to the left
b. The aggregate supply curve will shift to the left.
c. The aggregate demand curve will shift to the right
d. The aggregate supply curve will shift to the right

6. Assume a Keynesian AS curve. In the short run, when there is a large output gap
a. contractionary demand management policy is likely to be highly inflationary
b. expansionary demand management policy does not cause much inflation.
c. expansionary demand management policy is likely to be highly inflationary
d. the government should use contractionary demand management policy

7. As a result of Bush tax cuts that partially expired in January 2013, the marginal tax rates for some households increased and these households paid higher taxes. Which of the following would be the best description of the tax cut expiration?
a. Rightward shift in AS
b. Rightward shift in AD
c. Leftward shift in AD
d. Leftward shift in AS

8. Suppose that the U.S. government increases income taxes on individuals earning more than $500,000/year and uses the revenue from this tax increase to subsidize the cost of energy for businesses. How will this policy change affect the U.S. economy?
a. The effect on output is ambiguous but price level will decrease for sure
b. The effect on both output and price level is ambiguous.
c. The effect on price level is ambiguous but output will increase for sure
d. The effect on price level is ambiguous but output will decrease for sure

9. If Australia, which imports goods from the United States, went into recession, we would expect that U.S. net exports would
a. rise, making aggregate demand shift right.
b. rise, making aggregate demand shift left
c. fall, making aggregate demand shift left
d. fall, making aggregate demand shift right

10. Suppose that Greece decides to exit the European Union and the Euro Zone, causing a boost in business confidence in European markets. How would you illustrate the primary effect of Greece’s decision in the AD-AS model for the EU economy?

Note: for this question, assume that Y in the AD-AS model represents output (GDP) of EU member countries without Greece.
a. a shift in the aggregate supply curve to the left and a shift in the aggregate demand curve to the left
b. a shift in the aggregate demand curve to the right
c. a shift in the aggregate demand curve to the left
d. movement along the aggregate demand curve to the left

11. The Austrian school of thought believes that demand management policy should not be used because
a. big government prefers deregulation, which shifts aggregate supply
b. the economy is always at full employment
c. shifting AD to the right is likely to cause deflation
d. big government has a bias towards inflationary policy