ECO 304L Chapter Unit 3: Ch 9-12, 16: Long-term inflation and real growth rates

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Long-term inflation and real growth rates: we will now discuss how to compare growth rates of output over longer periods of time. Here are a few figures for annual real gdp: 11,553. 0 (note that most downloaded data give gdp and related figures in billions, not trillions of dollars. The growth rate from 1995 to 1999 was 18. 54% and the growth rate from. Clearly, the economy grew more in the earlier period, but the earlier period was four years rather than three. We need a method to make growth over these periods more comparable: again, we will annualize the growth rates. Real gdp1999 = real gdp1995 (1 + ga)4. = (,779. 8 billion / ,093. 7 billion)1/4 1. This happens because the annual growth compounds from one year to the next. Just dividing 18. 54 by four will not give the annualized growth rate: the calculation for the annualized growth rate from 1999 to 2002 is given by: ga.

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