ADMJ 1245 Chapter Notes - Chapter 13: Shining Path, Carlos Marighella, Che Guevara
Document Summary
Roughly 90% of all terrorist organizations in history have a life span of less than one year (rapoport, 1990s) Of the remaining 10%, half are gone within a decade. Play a central role in long-term survival and effectiveness. Decisions impact the likelihood of success or failure. Strategic theories: focus on the use of violence as a means to an end and highlight the need for a group"s tactical decisions to be based in accurate information. Question: how terrorist groups calibrate their violence in order to avoid alienating the very people whose support is crucial to their survival. Terrorism is a contextual phenomenon and it thus makes sense that successful analysis of terrorist group decision-making needs to take into account a variety of contextual factors. Must have bookkeepers, hr, behavioral protocols, disciplinary procedures, training programs (like the private sector) Question: how terrorist leaders try to accurately interpret information available to them but then make bad decisions.