FIN 301 Chapter Notes - Chapter 13: Random Walk Hypothesis, Efficient-Market Hypothesis, Market Capitalization

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5 Apr 2017
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Chapter 13 efficient capital markets and random walks. According to the theory of efficient capital markets (ecm), the stock market is brutally efficient. According to efficient capital markets, the receipt of new information by the market causes stock prices to change. The immediate adjustment path describes how share price responds to news in an efficient market. Price changes could also be caused by changes in broad economic variables such as interest rates, unemployment rates, war, peace, acts of terrorism, and other news. In short, successive price changes are independent of each other, and the best estimate of tomorrow"s stock price is today"s stock price. In efficient capital markets, share price changes are random. Why might we expect stock prices to follow a random walk: one reason is that the stock market is full of knowledgeable and aggressive investors who attempt to find simple schemes to make money in the market.

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