POL SCI 3 Chapter Notes - Chapter 6: Los Angeles Times, Hillary Clinton
24 Nov 2016
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How one 19-year-old illinois man is distorting national. Shifted polling aggregates because he is a panelist on the u. s. c. Angeles times daybreak poll the biggest polling outlier of the presidential can improve trump"s margin by 1 point. In some polls, weighted as much as 30 times more than the average respondent, and as much as 300 times more than the least-weighted respondent. Once out of the sample, mrs clinton surged for the first time in several weeks. Poll made a number of unusual decisions in designing and weighting its. Typically national survey usually weighs to make sure its representative across pretty broad categories (ex. Number of men or number of people 18 to 29) Need to give astonishing amount of extra weight to particularly underrepresented voters. But extreme weights for the 19 year old black trump voter in. Il not normal: (2) weights by past vote.
