HIS343H1 Chapter Notes - Chapter 9: Cuban Missile Crisis, Main Intelligence Directorate, Oleg Penkovsky

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28 Apr 2019
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Intelligence assessment in the cuban missile crisis queen"s. Cuban missile crisis is a story of intelligence. Has soviet intelligence provided khrushchev with accurate assessments of the feasibility of secret deployment to cuba and the us"s likely reaction, he may never have continued. Had the us picked up earlier, jfk might have been able to avoid the publicconfrontation. Had american intelligence failed to discover, khrushchev may have succeeded. New material about the crisis shows that the us is not as people believe. Intelligence assessment is susceptible to errors and biases. American discovery of soviet r-12 (ss-4) mrbm sites, r-14 (ss-5) irbm sites under construction in cuba. October 14, u-2 recon plane flying almost 14 miles above earth took photos of the missiles of such quality that analysis could identify trees, trailers, vehicles, bushes, and measure the dimensions of missile shelters. Unclear whether the us had broken soviet codes. Evidence that they identified poltava, which was carrying nuclear warheads.

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