PSY 1101 Chapter Notes - Chapter 1: Scale-Invariant Feature Transform, Confounding, Central Tendency

• School: University of Ottawa
• Department: Psychology
• Course: PSY 1101
• Professor: Mark Dallas

Document Summary

The need for psychological science phenomena: hindsight bias, we rely too heavily on intuition and common sense, this is demonstrated by 3. The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it. When 2 opposite findings both seem like common sense, there is a problem. Such errors in our recollections and explanations show why we need psychological research. Common sense described what has happened as opposed to what will happen: overconfidence. Humans tend to think we know more than we do. We tend to be more confident than correct: perceiving order in random events. In our natural eagerness to make sense of the world, we are prone to perceive patterns. Random sequences often don"t always look random and are over- interpreted. With a large enough sample, extremely unlikely events occur. Point to remember: hindsight bias, overconfidence and our tendency to perceive patterns in random events often lead us to overestimate our intuition.