POL SCI 40 Midterm: Midterm Study Guide
Document Summary
More democrats are becoming liberal over time. More republicans are becoming conservative over time. Democrats are becoming more consistently liberal over time. Republicans are becoming more consistently conservative over time. There are less people in the middle. As growth rate increases the incumbents party of two person vote increases. As nation"s economy grows between first six months the incumbent part is doing better and better. 2016 economy was very similar, just a little higher, to 2012 so based on economy it was going to be a close election. When we get to the 2000 period more than 90 percent vote for their party. From 1950-2000 identifying with a party didn"t guarantee your vote from them like it does now. A margin is the vote 1 candidate gets, minus the other candidates totals. Positive margin: clinton got more than trump. Negative margin: clinton gets less than trump. 25 points trump got 25 more points than clinton.
