POL 51 Study Guide - Final Guide: Linear Regression, Regression Analysis, Null Hypothesis
18 Mar 2017
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Theory: after elections, governments like to reward areas that support them. They distribute money to areas that supported them in the last election in order to keep their support for future decisions. Hypothesis: governments will direct foreign aid money to areas that supported them in the election. Foreign aid given to countries (to spend within that country) by other govts/international govts. % more votes govt received than the 2nd place party in each electoral district. Amount of aid money given to electoral district. Ha: should see positive coefficient on victory margin. Do the analysis in the table support his hypothesis? . Coefficient is positive (as expected) [in this case] Magnitude of coefficient (one change per x results in how much of a change in y) Every 1 increase in votes?? results in a 0. 26 increase in the amount of aid given to an electoral district [in this case] Whether you can reject the null hypothesis.
