MGEB12H3 Study Guide - Final Guide: Decision Rule, Pepperoni, Null Hypothesis

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ECMB12H3 Section L30
Quantitative Methods in Economics II
Summer 2001
University of Toronto at Scarborough
Dr. Yu
Final Examination
Date: Wednesday, August 14, 2001
Time allowed: Two (2) hours
Aids allowed: Calculator and two aid sheets (four 8.5”x11” pages) prepared by
student.
Notes:
This exam consists of 14 questions in 11 pages including this cover page.
It is the student’s responsibility to hand in all pages of this exam. Any missing page
will get zero mark.
Show your work in each question in Part II.
This exam is worth 40% of your course grade.
Print Last Name: Solution
Given Name(s):
Student Number:
Do not write on the space below, for markers only
Page Question Total Marks
2-4 1-10 40
4-5 11 15
6-7 12 15
8-9 13 15
10-11 14 15
Total 100
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Part I. Multiple Choice. 4 marks in each question. No part mark.
Circle only one answer. If there are more than one correct answer, circle the best one.
1. Suppose 45.0:
0=pH is to be tested against 45.0:
1>pH at the
α
=0.14 level
of significance where p is the probability of getting a “yes” vote in a population.
If the sample size is 200, the smallest number of “yes” votes that will cause 0
H
to be rejected is closest to
(A) 85 (B) 90 (C) 94 (D) 98 (E) 102
2. Candidate Jones claims that over 60% of voters are favouring him in the
upcoming election. A random sample of 2500 voters shows that 1550 of them are
favouring him. The p-value to test this claim is closest to
(A) 0.02 (B) 0.04 (C) 0.08 (D) 0.16 (E) 0.32
Questions 3-4. Use the following information.
A random sample of 12 observations is selected to estimate a simple regression
relationship between an independent variable X and a dependent variable Y. A
partial ANOVA table is given below.
Source SS df MS F
Regression 250
Error
Total 350
3. In testing the significance of the model, the value of the t-statistic is closest to
(A) 3 (B) 5 (C) 13.5 (D) 25 (E) 27.5
4. The length of a 95 percent confidence interval for the mean value of Y at the mean
value of X is closest to
(A) 2.01 (B) 2.98 (C) 3.28 (D) 4.02 (E) 5.96
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Questions 5-8. Use the following information.
A random sample 921 ,...,, XXX is selected from a normal distribution with mean
µ
and variance 2
σ
. Let
=
=9
1
9
1
i
i
XX and
()
=
= 9
1
2
2
8
1
i
iXXS .
5. The probability
(
)
σµ
+>XP is closest to
(A) 0.0013 (B) 0.0228 (C) 0.1587 (D) 0.3413 (E) 0.9987
6. The probability
(
)
SXP +>
µ
is between
(A) 0 to 0.005 (B) 0.005 and 0.01 (C) 0.01 and 0.02
(D) 0.02 and 0.025 (E) 0.025 and 1
7. We wish to test 5:
0=
µ
H versus 5:
1<
µ
H using the 5% significance level.
Suppose
()
72
9
1
2=
=
i
iXX . The null hypothesis 0
H will be rejected if
(A) 5785.0<X (B) 8595.1<X (C) 8595.6<X
(D) 5785.10<X (E) 1405.3<X
8. Another independent random sample 921 ,...,, YYY is also selected from this normal
distribution and the sample mean is denoted by
=
=9
1
9
1
i
i
YY . The probability
(
)
σ
>YXP is closest to
(A) 0.017 (B) 0.483 (C) 0.5 (D) 0.75 (E) 0.983
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Document Summary

Calculator and two aid sheets (four 8. 5 x11 pages) prepared by student. Notes: this exam consists of 14 questions in 11 pages including this cover page. It is the student"s responsibility to hand in all pages of this exam. Solution: show your work in each question in part ii, this exam is worth 40% of your course grade. Do not write on the space below, for markers only. If there are more than one correct answer, circle the best one. =ph at the =0. 14 level of significance where p is the probability of getting a yes vote in a population. If the sample size is 200, the smallest number of yes votes that will cause. 45. 0 to be rejected is closest to (a) 85 (b) 90 (c) 94. Candidate jones claims that over 60% of voters are favouring him in the upcoming election. A random sample of 2500 voters shows that 1550 of them are favouring him.