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A proposed project is being procured through a Public – Private Partnership (PPP). In the PPP procurement process, two companies (the SPVs – special purpose vehicles) A and B with each having 0.5% chances of selection. The risks analysis document reveals that SPV ‘A’ has 0.4 risk of performance failure, whiles SPV ‘B’ has 0.3 risk of performance failure.

Using Decision Tree Analysis as as a project manager critically assess the options and advise on the best SPV to be chosen.

 

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