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23 Jan 2019

2. Suppose instead, real GDP in the United States falls temporarily instead. Contrast the immediate effect of the temporary shock on interest rates and the exchange rate compared to the permanent shock.

a. (20 points) Draw two diagrams with the money market diagram for the US on the left and the expected return in $/ exchange rate ($/yen) diagram on the right. Label the impact effect, when the shock is temporary, as point B and the impact effect when the shock is permanent as point C.

b. (5 points) Why are these impact effects on the exchange rate different? Explain.

c. (5 points) Assuming again that the shock to real GDP in the US was temporary, what would happen to the nominal interest rate in the US and the exchange rate in the long-run. Explain.

3. Denmark pegs their currency, the krone, to the euro.

a. (10 points) Draw two diagrams, side by side with the money market diagram for Denmark on the left and the expected return in krone / exchange rate diagram on the right hand side. Label the initial equilibrium point A. Denmark suffers from an adverse productivity shock and goes in a recession. Show how your two diagrams are affected by the recession in Denmark. Assume that the peg is credible. b.

b) (10 points) Suppose Denmark prefers to fight the recession via counter-cyclical monetary policy by increasing the money supply in hopes of lowering interest rates in Denmark. Explain what would happen...i.e., would they be successful or not? Be sure to mention capital flows and use the term(s) 'capital flight' and/or 'hot money,' whichever applies. Make sure to use a balance sheet - T - account for Denmark's central bank and show/explain how the money supply changes endogenously.

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Nelly Stracke
Nelly StrackeLv2
25 Jan 2019

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