1.1 The initial cost of constructing a permanent dam (i.e., a dam that is expected to last forever, a perpetuity) is $425 million. The annual net benefits will depend on the amount of rainfall: $18 million in a âdryâ year, $29 million in a âwetâ year, and $52 million in a âfloodâ year. Meteorological records indicate that over the last 100 years there have been 86 âdryâ years, 12 âwetâ years, and 2 âfloodâ years. Assume the annual benefits, measured in real dollars, begin to accrue at the end of the first year. Using the meteorological records as a basis for prediction, what are the net benefits of the dam if the real discount rate is 5 percent? Does the dam pass the net benefits test?
1.2 Use several alternative discount rate values (1% to 10%) to investigate the sensitivity of the present value of net benefits of the dam in 1.1 to the assumed value of the real discount rate. Determine the "breakeven" value of the discount rate, which can be found by solving for the rate at which the present value of the stream of expected annual net benefits just equals the cost of construction.
1.1 The initial cost of constructing a permanent dam (i.e., a dam that is expected to last forever, a perpetuity) is $425 million. The annual net benefits will depend on the amount of rainfall: $18 million in a âdryâ year, $29 million in a âwetâ year, and $52 million in a âfloodâ year. Meteorological records indicate that over the last 100 years there have been 86 âdryâ years, 12 âwetâ years, and 2 âfloodâ years. Assume the annual benefits, measured in real dollars, begin to accrue at the end of the first year. Using the meteorological records as a basis for prediction, what are the net benefits of the dam if the real discount rate is 5 percent? Does the dam pass the net benefits test?
1.2 Use several alternative discount rate values (1% to 10%) to investigate the sensitivity of the present value of net benefits of the dam in 1.1 to the assumed value of the real discount rate. Determine the "breakeven" value of the discount rate, which can be found by solving for the rate at which the present value of the stream of expected annual net benefits just equals the cost of construction.