POLI SCI 140 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Expected Utility Hypothesis, Baruch Spinoza, Moon Treaty
8 Feb 2018
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Changes in relative power lead to changes in behavior among states. Nato was founded in1949: 300,000 troops during cold war, article v. Note: alliances to not have to be formal: us-israel. Large states: autonomy; forward deployment; control over small states. Are alliances honored: the record is mixed: 40-60% of the time. Should nato expand: yes, high political benefits; increase autonomy, lock in democracy, no- too costly, threatens russia, no military benefits. Remember the context morgenthau was writing in. Absence of sovereign arbiter to solve disputes, allocate resources, or enforce agreements. : increasing your own security will usually erode your own security. First 3 treaty signed: moon treaty- no nukes on moon, antarctic treaty- no nukes in antarctica, space treaty- no nukes in space. The conferenced of agreements: trade agreements, environmental agreements, arms agreements. Realists (and liberals) assume that states (and their leaders) are rational actors. Def. or rational: agreeable to reason; sensible .
