ECO 304L Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Procyclical And Countercyclical, Efficiency Wage

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Above trend: current real gdp > trend level. Below trend: current real gdp < trend level. Severity of one recession or expansion to another. Output gaps at peaks or troughs give overall magnitude of gap. Severity also depends on size of economy. Percentage deviation from trend = (y t - y t trend ) / y t trend. Procyclical: variable increases when real gdp increases and decreases when real gdp decreases. Real investment: average percentage deviation of investment from its trend is larger than for real gdp. Real consumption: average percentage deviation of consumption from its trend is smaller than for real gdp. Volatility: level of variation in value over time. Investment is more volatile than real gdp. Consumption is less volatile than real gdp. Countercyclical: variable decreases when real gdp increases and increases when real. Those legally able to work in the regular economy. Must be working age (16 years of age)

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