ECON 2105 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Procyclical And Countercyclical, Paccar, Capital Good

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Econ 2105 - lecture 6: growth and recession in the u. s. economy. Announced quarterly by the u. s. department of commerce (4th week of the next quarter) Value of everything produced in the u. s. Is a statistical estimate, subject to revision. Need to measure real gdp to take inflation out of the equation. Real gdp: current base year is set at 2009 (where nominal gdp and real gdp cross: calculated with constant prices, each gdp component (consumption, investment, government spending) is deflated separately; add them up to get real gdp. Chaining: it is re-based each year: recessions: when real gdp declines for 2 quarters in a row (1/2 a year) Recessions are dated from peak to trough. Last recession: december 2007 - june 2009: areas between recessions are called expansions. Real gdp has doubled since 1988, despite recessions: growth rate of real gdp has averaged about 3% per year.

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