PSY 101 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Hindsight Bias, Confirmation Bias, Critical Thinking
14 Feb 2018
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Intuition and common sense can be faulty. Overconfidence-we think we know more than we really do. A mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to a given person"s mind when evaluating a specific topic, concept, method or decision. Looking for evidence that supports your theory while ignoring contradictory evidence. We may have to reject our own ideas. Thinking without blindly accepting arguments and conclusions. The scientific method: perceive a question, state a clear theory, an organized set of principles that describes, explains, and predicts behavior i. A good theory: organizes many observations, makes clear predictions, form hypothesis, a testable prediction, derived from a theory, test the hypothesis by collecting data, laboratory research i. Research conducted in an environment that can be carefully controlled: field research i. Research conducted in real-world settings: naturalistic observation, evaluate the theory/draw conclusion, statistics, mathematics used to analyze data ii, make interpretations about data. Summarize data: share/report the results, publish them in a journal.
