CRI 205 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Testability, Gary Kleck, Fallacy
Document Summary
Sanctions don"t have impact on behavior based on morals. Of the sliver of people who are deterrable, they don"t even know the exact repercussions. Group of people who are undeterrable don"t care about the punishments. Classical deterrence theory: on crimes and punishments, modern expansions, empirical evidence generally. General policies / practices: arrest / prosecution / incarceration to. Speci c programs: scared straight, electronic monitoring, boot camps, shock incarceration, broken windows policing. Pratt et al (2006) meta-analysis of 40 studies on deterrence through 2003. Effect size standardize the data, standard deviation. Mean effect size estimates chart: certainty small effect, severity no effect, non-legal sanctions small effect. Certainty: effects are modest (small impact: even when looking at perceived certainty. [overall effects: diminished when including other variables] Experiential effects matter, but are weak: punishment may increase actual criminality. Collateral consequences after prison unemployable, skills degraded. [surrounded by other criminals while incarcerated: resetting effect (gambler"s fallacy) [independent events, don"t have any memory, just happen]
