HDFS 360 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Hindsight Bias, Illusory Correlation, Confirmation Bias
19 Feb 2018
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Document Summary
Worldviews and experiences filtered through cognition and perception. Na ve realism: belief that the world is precisely as we see it. Confirmation bias: tendency to seek out evidence, consistent in your own beliefs and deny, dismiss, or distort evidence that is not. to talk to you (you ignore the examples that go against your bias) Ex: call your friend, they don"t answer, you tend to believe they don"t want. Ex: on a monday, you fail a test, so it results in you thinking monday"s are bad luck. Illusory correlation: tendency to perceive associations that are objectively absent. Hindsight bias: error of perceiving events as more predictable after they have occurred (you knew it all along) Ex: not studying for a test, and not sure what your grade would be, but then you fail it and then later say (oh i knew i was going to fail that) Groupthink: preoccupation with group unanimity that impedes.
