EARTHSC 1121 Lecture Notes - Lecture 16: Emergency Management, Radiometric Dating, Scientific Modelling

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The exam will not feature what is listed on the syllabus, but rather what"s been covered in class since the last midterm. People are able to board up and prepare or evacuate. They can be predicted--long-term (10-100s of years). Seismic hazards are mapped to assess risk. Within thirty years, you own the house. Not because it had any scientific meaning, but because this would be the longest a person would be able to expect to picture. The west coast is a high-hazard zone because it"s at the meeting of plates. Probability of a certain magnitude earthquake occurring on a time scale of 30 to. Based on the premise that earthquakes are repetitive. Evidence of seismicity--fault scarps, sand volcanoes, etc. Seismic gaps, places that haven"t even slipped recently, are more likely candidates. Goal: the location and magnitude of a large earthquake. Currently no reliable short-range predictions are possible.

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