ECON 401 Lecture Notes - Lecture 11: Autonomous Consumption, National Bureau Of Economic Research

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13 Oct 2016
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Real gdp over time: short-run business cycles. Nber: most of the recessions identified by our procedures do consist of two or more quarters of declining real gdp, but not all of them. A recession increases the unemployment rate because firms cut production; A recession postpones spending on durable goods because workers lose jobs; A recession decreases the inflation rate because spending declines. S: savings = part of income retained after paying taxes and consumption. C: spending by households on goods and services; I: planned investment on capital goods (include inventories); G: government purchases at the local, state, and federal level; Nx: net exports = exports imports. Equilibrium occurs when planned inventories = actual inventories; Inventories: goods that have been produced, but not yet sold; Changes in inventories depend on sales of goods, not easy to forecast. Current disposable income is a flow: earnings during the year (yd = y-t);

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