ECON 101 Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Gdp Deflator, Potential Output, Final Good

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Economics 101
Lori Leachman
Part 1 Lecture
Production Possibilities Curve PPC: all possible combos of goods & services an economy can produce if
all resources are fully and efficiently employed - represents potential GDP
o Anywhere on curve is at full employment, potential GDP
o Anywhere inside PPC represents unemployed resources, inefficiency
o Anywhere on PPC closer (heavily loaded) towards consumer goods, signals inflation
o Anywhere on PPC closer (heavily loaded) towards capital goods, signal future growth (capital
accumulation)
o Anywhere outside PPC represents trading (consuming outside of PPC), only attainable
through growth, PPC shifts out... can also push full capital utilization (not good)
Marginal Cost increases as economy specializes towards a product - no economy produces only one
product - no complete specialization
Goal 1#: EMPLOYMENT
o Employment Types
Full Employment: unemployment rate less than or equal to rate of frictional
unemployment (~4%)
Frictional Unemployment: people out of work bc entering job force (college students)
or quit job and looking for new one (~4%)
Structural Unemployment: out of work bc they lack the necessary skills to take jobs
available
Cyclical Unemployment: out of work because of downturn in business cycle; in a
recession
Seasonal Unemployment: out of work due to the seasonal nature of work (farmers... etc)
o Discretionary Policy: only addresses cyclical unemployment (you do not want to reduce
frictional unemployment (keep competitive market) and need other policy for structural
unemployment)
o Unemployment Measures:
U3 rate = % of non-institutionalized labor force (not in jail...etc), 16-64 age range,
includes military
Must be out of work and actively looking
Part time counted as full time (even just one hour)
U5 rate includes discouraged workers (not included in labor force), around ~7.9%
U6 rate includes discouraged workers (U5) and part-timers who want to work full time
(better representation) - around 8.2%
Calculate the rate:
U3 rate = average duration (average num of weeks unemployed) x % of
people out of work & actively looking (monthly survey sample)
If change in U3 due to change in duration => structural employment
o Problem in market clearing & matching
If change in U3 due to change in average number of workers => cyclical
unemployment
o Discretionary policy is useful here, unlike before
Unemployment rate does not consider demographic, region, gender information in these
rates
o Why unemployment matters
Mortality - higher unemployment leads to higher mortality
High correlation - deaths of despair
Higher divorce rates, sexual/spouse abuse
Waste of human resources - lower GDP
Self perpetuating joblessness - younger people not gaining skills/confidence - atrophy...
taking menial jobs
Political costs - election turnover & government turnover (protests, rebellions...etc)
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