GEOG 001 Lecture Notes - Lecture 7: Scientific Method, Coastal Erosion

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5 key factors in predicting hazards: location of the hazard. Determining the probability of a particular event at a specific site. Long discharge records for many rivers, allowing the development of models that can reasonably predict the number of floods in a given period. Surface of the ground might creep for weeks, months, or years before a catastrophic landslide. These events if identified allow scientists to predict when and where a disaster will happen: forecasting the event. Possible to forecast accurately when a possible damaging event will occur. Arrival times of tsunamis can be predicted if a warning systems detects the waves. Warning: an announcement that a hazardous event, ex. Once a hazardous event has been predicted the public must be warned. A prediction of a hazardous event involves specifying the date and size of the event a forecast is less precise and has uncertainty. Adjustments to hazards are either structural or non-structural.

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