PSYCH 1101 Lecture Notes - Lecture 33: Leon Festinger, Confirmation Bias, Motivated Reasoning
Document Summary
Social psychology: two big points: thoughts, feelings, and behaviors are powerfully shaped by the social environment, our social perception of other people is fundamentally different than our social perception of ourselves. Overconfidence: we are overly generous in our predictions of our own performance. College students asked to predict when they will complete their senior thesis. Actually finish it 3 weeks later than their most realistic estimate. 1 week later than their worst case scenario : we are overconfident in our estimates of how correct we are in our own judgments, as well as in our own abilities. Being confident in general is not reliably correlated with being right. Dunning-kruger effect ( unskilled and unaware ): the less you know about. How do we maintain positive illusions in the face of reality: the totalitarian ego (greenwald, 1980): the mind/ego is like a dictator that controls information to benefit itself.