POL SCI 143A Lecture Notes - Lecture 12: Hukou System, Wen Jiabao, Graham T. Allison
11 Oct 2017
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Document Summary
Where is china"s rise going is a clash between rising power and the status quo inexorably ( thucydides trap ) More recently tried to reconnect with ancient things. 1978 : launched reform & opening after increased disillusionment of continuous revolution. Reforms collective energies on rapid economic modernisation. Emancipation of cultural revo victims, devolutions of power to provincial and local. 1992-2008 : tax reforms, privatization, administrative recentralization, focus on export-led growth. 2008-12 : exports slump, fiscal stimulus to fixed-asset investment by soes. 2012-now : shift from investment-led growth to consumption markets critical. Chinese revolutionary elite has reinvented itself as a stable & disciplined authoritarian meritocracy. 18th party congress: xi jinping, revolutionary princeling . Xi appears relaxed, candid, optimistic and self-assured compared to hu. (xi"s dad was a reformer in the 80s) 4th generation decade of hu and wen jiabao had an average annual gdp growth record higher than that of any of predecessors.
