PSY-3217 Lecture Notes - Lecture 15: Illusory Correlation, Availability Heuristic, Representativeness Heuristic
16 Aug 2016
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The decider : general principles: two general principles: We make judgments and decisions based on general knowledge this can bias our decisions. We are less skeptical than we should be we tend to seek confirmatory evidence (either first or only) Rules are not as clear-cut as for deductive reasoning. Different principles and biases influence inductive reasoning. Often referred to as reasoning under uncertainty. In contrast to deductive reasoning, the goal is to go beyond the information given 3. If you toss a fair coin, what is the probability of: an outcome of heads once; twice in a row? . Base on remembered frequency of similar events: attribute substitution: replacing information about an unknown event or quantity with information about a (hopefully) similar/comparable event or quantity. Example: judging likelihood of graduating based on remembered frequency of successful graduates. The availability heuristic: availability heuristic: judging frequency of events based on information available in.
