ECON 3580 Lecture Notes - Lecture 17: Capital Flight, Aggregate Demand, Devaluation

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17 Jul 2018

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Devaluation: for devaluation to occur, the central bank buys foreign assets, so that domestic monetary assets increase and domestic interest rates fall, causing a fall in the rate return on domestic currency deposits. Domestic products become less expensive relative to foreign products, so aggregate demand and output increase. Official international reserve assets (foreign bonds) increase. Financial crises and capital flight: when a central bank does not have enough official international reserve assets to maintain a fixed exchange rate, a balance of payments crisis results. To sustain a fixed exchange rate, the central bank must have enough foreign assets to sell in order to satisfy the demand of them at the fixed exchange rate. Investors rush to change their domestic assets into foreign assets, depleting the stock of official international reserve assets more quickly: as a result, financial capital is quickly moved from domestic assets to foreign assets: capital flight.

Related Questions

2.) In a simple economy (assume there are no taxes; thus, Y is disposable income), the consumption is C=50+0.80 Y. The current level of real GDP is $3000.

At this level of real GDP, consumption will be $___, and savings will be $___. If GDP were to increase by $1000, consumption would increase by $___. (Round off response to nearest dollar.)

At a real GDP level of $3000, the average propensity to conumer is $___, and the average propensity to save is ___. (Round off response to nearest dollar.)

11.) In the short run, if the economy has a recessionary gap, an increased government deficit resulting from higher government spending or lower taxes is most likely to :

a) increase aggregate demand, which will move the economy toward full employment real GDP

b) have no effect on aggregate demand or real GDP after direct and indirect offsets are counted

c) increase aggregate demand, raising prices and creatring an inflationary gap

d) decrease aggregate demand, reducing prices and increasin the recessionary gap

14.) The Federal reserve purchases $9 million in uS Treasury bonds from a bond dealer, and the dealer's bank credits the dealer's account. The required reserve ratio is 17 percent , and the bank typically lends any excess reserves immediately. Assuming that no currency leakage occurs, calculate how much much will the bank be able to lend to its customers following the fed's purchase. $ __ million. (round off to 2 decimal points)

18.) According to the quantity theory of money, the prices, a -3% change in the money supply, holding other variables constant leads to a

a) -3% changee in real GDP

b) -3% change in the interest rate

c) -3% change in the price level

d) a greater than -3% in real GDP

24. Over the course of a year, a nation tracked its foreign transactions and arrived at the following amounts:

Merchandise exports 500

service exports 75

net unilateral transfers 10

domestic assets abraod (capital outflows) -200

foreign assets at home (Capital inflows) 300

changes in official reserves -35

merchandise imports 600

service imports 50

This nations' blance of trade is ______

Its current account balance is ______

The nation's capital account balance is _____

27. Major discoveries of the highest-quality dia-monds ever found occur in Russia andCentralAsia, causing a significant decline in purchases ofSouth African diamonds. Moreover, assume a floating exchange rate.

Describe how the market for the rand is impacted by this event. Will demand shift to the left? Will supply remain the same? Or will supply change?

With the heavy focus on trade with China, it may be surprising to discover that Canada is the USA's largest trading partner. Perhaps it is not the amount of trade between the US and China that is such a great concern as much as the growth of the trade, the corresponding imbalances, and China's currency valuations.

The yuan renminbi is the official currency of China. It has been historically fixed and controlled by the Chinese government, but that may be changing. As China becomes a greater global exporter and economic powerhouse, critics are claiming that the currency is being undervalued and manipulated in an attempt to protect domestic markets. There are additional levels of complexity impacting China as the nation must deal not only with the economic competition but also internal political and social pressures. As China continues to loosen capital controls, there is fear that the government may lose control of inflation and interest rates, thereby causing a great deal of labor and social unrest, while negatively impacting China's competitive advantages. There are currently platforms in place to increase the circulation of the yuan, but those platforms are currently limited and severely restricted.

China is a leader in international world trade, a major exporter, and currently holds the largest foreign exchange reserve in the world. The nation has one of the highest GDPs in the world and is increasing its economic power. Is it fair for China to fix its currency by undervaluing it on the market? How does keeping its exchange rate undervalued give it a favorable position in international trade? What about from the viewpoint of consumers?

Why is the Chinese government hesitant to open the yuan to market forces to determine its value (floating exchange rate) inside and outside of China?

We often talk about manufacturing and goods related to trade with China. What information can you find on trade in services between the two countries?

ochrecrow336

Currency Trouble in Malawi Closing Case (Question below article)

When the former World Bank economist Bingu wa Mutharika became president of the East African nation of Malawi in 2004, it seemed to be the beginning of a new age for one of the world's poorest countries. In landlocked Malawi, most of the population subsists on less than a dollar a day. Mutharika was their champion. He introduced a subsidy program for fertilizer to help poor farmers and gave them seeds. Agricultural output expanded, and the economy boomed, growing by 7 percent per year between 2005 and 2010. International donors loved him, and aid money started to pour in from the United Kingdom and the United States. By 2011, foreign aid was accounting for more than half of Malawi's annual budget.

In 2009, to no one's surprise, Mutharika was reelected, president. Then things started to fall apart. Mutharika became increasingly dictatorial. He pushed aside the country's central bankers and ministers to take full control of economic policy. He called himself âEconomist in Chief. Critics at home were harassed and jailed. Independent newspapers were threatened. When a cable from the British ambassador describing Mutharika as autocratic and intolerant of criticism was leaked, he expelled the British ambassador. Britain responded by freezing aid worth $550 million over four years. When police in mid-2011 killed 20 anti-government protestors, other aid donors withdrew their support, including most significantly the United States. Mutharika told the donors they could go to hell. To compound matters, tobacco sales, which usually accounted for 60 percent of foreign currency revenues, plunged on diminishing international demand and the decreasing quality of the local product, which had been hurt by a persisting drought.

By late 2011, Malawi was experiencing a full-blown foreign currency crisis. The International Monetary Fund urged Mutharika to devalue the kwacha, Malawi's currency, to spur tobacco and tea exports. The kwacha was pegged to the U.S. dollar at 170 kwacha to the dollar. The IMF wanted Malawi to adopt an exchange rate of 280 kwacha to the dollar, which was closer to the black market exchange rate. Mutharika refused, arguing that this would cause price inflation and hurt Malawi's poor. He also refused to meet with an IMF delegation, saying that the delegates were âtoo junior. The IMF put a $79 million loan program it had with Malawi on hold, further exacerbating the foreign currency crisis. Malawi was in a tailspin.

In early April 2012, Mutharika had a massive heart attack. He was rushed to the hospital in the capital Lilongwe, but ironically, the medicines that he needed were out of stock the hospital lacked the foreign currency to buy them! Mutharika died. Despite considerable opposition from Mutharika supporters who wanted his brother to succeed him, Joyce Banda, the vice president, was sworn in as president. Although no one has stated this publicly, it seems clear that intense diplomatic pressure from the United Kingdom and the United States persuaded Mutharika's supporters to relent. Once in power, Banda announced that Malawi would devalue the kwacha by 40 percent. For its part, the IMF unblocked its loan program, while foreign donors, including the UK and the United States, stated that they would resume their programs.

Case Discussion Question (Answer must be no less than 250 words)

Why did the IMF recommend that the currency be devalued?

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ECON 3580 Lecture Notes - Lecture 17: Capital Flight, Aggregate Demand, Devaluation

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