BU288 Lecture Notes - Lecture 11: Confirmation Bias, Group Decision-Making, Group Polarization
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Temperature is proven not be a factor as given by the data. The data shows no correlation between air temperature and number of failures. If they lose they learn: carter racing, managers face problems when making choices under uncertainty, bounded rationality limited ability to process information. Illusion of invulnerability: collective rationalization, excessive stereotyping group makes negative steroptyps of people. Illusion of morality outside the group: pressure for conformity pressure anyone in group outside of group think to conform, self-censorship - members withhold their real thoughts. Illusion of unanimity members think everyone agrees: mind guards members who appoint themself as people who protect the group from cohesiveness reducing, avoiding group think, devil"s advocate role. Impartial leadership encourages open discussion kennedy in cuban missile crisis: multiple small groups who then meet as a collective group, outside experts , develop scenarios, second guess meeting. N: group decision making, advantages, more complete knowledge -