Psychology 2135A/B Lecture Notes - Lecture 20: Sesamoid Bone, Bank Teller, Conjunction Fallacy

• School: Western University
• Department: Psychology
• Course: Psychology 2135A/B
• Professor: John Paul Minda

Document Summary

Structure helps you to determine whether or not the conclusion is valid. Logically valid statements then allow you to evaluate whether or not the conclusion is true. Here content can undermine your way to make logically valid deductions (belief bias: belief bias is when your knowledge about something can undermine your assessment e. g. doctors misdiagnose patients. Structure cannot determine the truth (there is(cid:374)"t a for(cid:373)al dedu(cid:272)ti(cid:448)e stru(cid:272)ture to (cid:449)hat (cid:373)ost of us can do) Content is important (can increase the likelihood of making good predictions: the most reliable evidence is the past, the closer the similarity between past situations, a current situation, the greater likelihood. Probability: the study of likelihood and uncertainty. E. g. exam: try to estimate the likelihood that something will show up on an exam, but balance this out (cid:449)ith u(cid:374)(cid:272)ertai(cid:374)t(cid:455) (cid:271)e(cid:272)ause (cid:455)ou"re (cid:374)ot (cid:1005)(cid:1004)(cid:1004)% sure that so(cid:373)ethi(cid:374)g is goi(cid:374)g to sho(cid:449) up o(cid:374) the exam.