STA303H1 Lecture Notes - Lecture 8: Jason Varitek
Document Summary
Otoal define a weighting on theparameterspare certainvaluesof oe should bemore1less likely thanothers beforeseeingthedataynfor. Definition thepriordistribution isanyprobabilitydistribution ties on we use it toweight 0 c. Trey updateyourbelivesabout0 f k yni0 tico f feyi ynlostcos i0. A 4 2 100 credibleinterval isanyinterval l u suchthat. So take cl u tobethee and l e quantitiesof itloly i. e poly 0e l. 1 xiet benn o pax17 0 pcx os agloly ie p x d okiost a in xi. Icio n ex go. inu o nendo tito l pdf. I gotthatintegralbyknowingthat if x nbetala p thenfix p7lfprp xd etnbt weknowfofixsdx i. Pkpcp fox u x b dx peatp: exe. 4 definition apriortuo anddistributionfates arecalled conjugate if icoix isfromthe samefamilyofdistributions astuo. Eg xitedberna onbetaca p then u o n p t is thefunctionalformof a betalexits or exitp dist n extp ido. Mix 12 pcn thi113 whichisrecognizedas a betalexits or exitp distribution. L exp if ci ut ly cunot exp toro iz 2textu2 2 2cltzullotouts.
