POL208Y5 Lecture Notes - Lecture 7: Spiral Model, Vladimir Putin, Security Dilemma
Document Summary
> both policies can succeed or just make things worse depending on different factors. Two models of insecurity: the deterrence model. Posits that positive inducements worsen an opponents (aggressor) behaviour. Positive inducements will demonstrate aggressors policy is working, therefore there will ask for more (give them an inch they take a mile) Aggressor is likely to dismiss threats by the appeaser even if they later adopt a deterrence approach on security. > negative inducements are safer than positive inducements: the spiral model. Posits that negative inducements worsen an opponents behaviour. Whether angered or frightened, an opponent is likely to act more aggressively and be willing to use force to defend itself. With the initial punishment failing and the opponent making moves to strengthen itself, there will be a response with more punishment, opponent likely to grow even more belligerent. Reactions between both sides will spiral out of control, both seeking to become more powerful than the other (ex.
