PSYC 3110 Lecture Notes - Lecture 20: Group Psychotherapy, Pregnancy Rate, Sunscreen
6 Apr 2018
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Lecture 19 and 20: risk communication: there are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. - benjamin disraeli. Numbers are not just numbers, they can be used in many different ways and communicated ways. Often they can be used to miscommunicate. You can cause a lot of problem by miscommunicating with statistics: statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write. - h. g. To really understand screening you have to understand statistics. When we think in terms of binaries. In the end the outcome is binary, but you don"t know what outcome is. So when you talk about the risk of getting cancer it is a probabilistic thing. The illusion of certainty refers to the fact that you can"t grasp probabilities of risk: ignorance of risk. Not understanding risk of dying on a plane.
