POPM 3240 Lecture Notes - Lecture 27: Personal Protective Equipment, Antiviral Drug, Basic Reproduction Number
Document Summary
Turn real world problem into math problem. Need to make assumption to simplify real world problem. Adjust interpretation and the problem to give solutions. Can model anything such as traffic flow, stock market, politics, movements of particles, infectious disease. Diseases caused by microorganisms or parasites, or their biological products such as toxins, can be spread between people and animals. A case is also a risk factor. Positive feedback = more case you have, more cases you get. Variety, capacity for change and continuing emergence (disease is changing all the time) Prevention and control depends on the herd not just the individual. The average number of secondary infections caused by a single infectious individual in a totally susceptible population. Value of r0 is different for each pathogen and each population. R0 has a range that is caused by environmental factors (how people interact and react to the disease) C = contact rate (how many people are each person contacting)