ECON 3300 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Personalized Medicine

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(8) discuss how personalized medicine can complicate the process of deciding whether a new drug is effective. Assume the drug is effective on a relatively small subset of the patient population. If a patient has any underlying illnesses, those illnesses can complicate the treatment process and, potentially, cause further damage. More broadly, many physicians open themselves to a lawsuit if a genetic test or treatment is unsuccessful. If 99. 9% accurate means you have a false positive rate of 0. 1%, then you would expect to get. 10 false positives out of each test performed on 10,000 loci, and 1,000 false positives if you"re measuring 1 million. Of course you don"t know which of these measurements are false positives. It is also possible that only specific drugs will be prescribed, meaning blockbuster drugs will see a decline in sales. This is a problem for drug companies because they heavily rely on these drugs to fund their research.

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