ECN 506 Lecture Notes - Lecture 13: Disinflation, Capital Requirement, Tax Cut

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Chapter 13 economics fluctuation, monetary policy and the financial system. Expenditure shock: offset by changing real interest rate. Economic activities intermediate (5 years) and longterm (10years) Term structure in(t) = (1/n)[i1(t)+ ei1(t+1) + + ei1(t+n 1)] + n. Average of current+ expected one period rate + term premium. Output fluctuation: tax cut, bank lending, government spending, foreign currency rate, consumer confidence. Bank lending policies asset price change ae: risk perception, regulation, capital requirement. Capital crunch: fall in capital reduce lending. Declined stock and house price failure of financial institution losses and mortgage+ break down loan credit crunch. Investment multiplier: effect of firm"s earning on investment, magnifies fluctuation in ae. Higher interest rate increase nci increase exchange rate. Loan applicants risky, so banks reduce their lending. Reduce value of collateral and net worth. Lower asset price reduce consumption+ investment (costly to issue stock) Consumption multiplier (lower spending lower income lower consumption spending)

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