POLI 244 Lecture Notes - Lecture 12: Nuclear Warfare, New Start, Nuclear Proliferation
12 Mar 2016
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Document Summary
Us could contain iran even if it developed a nuclear arsenal by establishing clear redlines that tehran could not cross without the risk of retaliation. Greatest concern, unstable iranian-israeli nuclear contest would emerge. Israel"s status: assumed but undeclared nuclear weapon state, crossing iran"s nuclear state would create an unstable bipolar nuclear competition in the. Israel has large arsenal, tehran may fear a preventive or pre-emptive strike. Israeli leaders might be willing to strike first despite risks if israel were attacked, because of its small size devastation. Early stages of iranian-israeli nuclear competition are unstable. Even without direct conflict, iran"s nuclear weapons would be unstable in. Model of proliferation: negotiating with the international community while continuing to expand its stockpile. Iran"s arsenal becoming larger may be active in terrorist groups or coercive diplomacy: israel might face external pressure to abandon nuclear opacity, internal pressure to deter an attack from iran.
