POLI 244 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Neoclassical Realism, Kim Jong-Un, Cuban Missile Crisis
15 Dec 2019
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Things are more complex than traditional neo-realists: this last is more of a mid-level theory: more modest in its ambition than a grand theory. Independent variables are causal factors that produce an outcome. Dependent variables are the outcomes that we seek to explain (like war) So iv dv , iv causes dv. It"ll be perceived the same way by everyone. But different leaders might perceive threats and opportunities differently. For neo-classical realists, all of these factors contribute to shaping what states do (rose) simplifies what other writers wrote, the evolution since the earliest neo-realists. Realism says people are, leaders in general always rational. Jan 2019: testifying to congress, intelligence agency chiefs contradicted trump; they contradicted trump and annoyed him: trump said islamic state (isis) had been defeated; they had not. Trump withdraw troops from syria, not a very superpower move. Intelligence chiefs said, no it"s not the case. Trump was offended: trump thought north korea was de-nuclearizing; it was not.
