POLI 244 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Subjective Expected Utility, Fundamental Attribution Error, Prospect Theory

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Psychology and foreign policy making: rational choice: cognition and prospect theory, emotional choice. Informational processing: cognitive short-cuts: the (mis-)use of analogies. I"m going to interpret this situation by turning into analogy from the past . I can just apply lessons learn from past and see what the best solution is. Issue because sometimes analogies are created when they shouldn"t be. Between saddam hussein and adolf hitler: cognitive dissonance: discounting information. We all come into the world with some pre-existing belief, we then filter this information not necessarily in a rational way but rather through these preconceived notions. We more easily accept beliefs that fit into our preconceived notions, discount information that is contradictory: attribution: the fundamental attribution error. Tendency to see what others do as something as an intentional act. They did it because they wanted to do, and something we do is because of the circumstances imposed on us.

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