PHIL 200 Lecture 8: Lecture 8
29 May 2016
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Common form of inference: induction has been reliable in the past, induction will be reliable if i use it now or in future (probably) Black: to be circular, an argument"s conclusion must also appear as one of its premises. So: black says his justification of induction isn"t circular. Counter induction: if as have been b in the past, assume the next a wont be a b. Ex: i"ve observed 1000 crows and all have been black. Hence, the next crow i observe will not be black (ci) Opposite advice with induction and counterinduction, but with same premise. Induction: i"ve observed 1000 crows and all have been black. Hence, the next i observe will be black: ind has been reliable, counter induction has been unreliable in past. C*) counter induction will be reliable if i use it now and in the future. Both flawed arguments, telling us to do opposite things.
