ECON 440 Lecture 7: Valuing Health QALYs and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

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Valuing health interventions
Economic efficiency
Cost-Benefit Analysis
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Cost-Utility Analysis: QALYs
Use of economic evaluation in practice
Outline for Today
Benefit of other drug + Market size
Marginal benefit of a new drug
How much the marginal benefit of the new drug is worth to people
Marginal cost of the new drug
Value of the new drug
What are 4 key pieces of information that we need?
Valuing the Impact of a Policy, Health Intervention, or New Health Technology
How would tobacco use behavior change?
Impacts on morbidity, productivity, foregone health care spending (both smokers and non-smokers)
Estimating the impacts of alternative regulations on tobacco use
What are they worth?
Assessing the economic benefits of these reductions in tobacco use and subsequent health effects
Direct costs of implementation and enforcement
Losses to consumer surplus from limiting individual choice
Determining the economic costs of implementing these regulations
(Value of those costs)
From Chaloupka et al., 2014
Efficiency requires that we maximize health outcomes gained from the resources allocated to healthcare
i.e., how good are systems at producing health with a given basket of inputs (fixing resources)?
Technical efficiency: Maximum possible improvement in health outcome is obtained from a set of resource
inputs
Can compare across interventions
Here, we fix the amount of $ (flexibility across inputs)
Productive efficiency: Maximization of health outcome for a given cost, or the minimization of a cost for a given
outcome
Concerned with opportunity costs and MB = MC
Total welfare (well-being)
Health
Resources are allocated so as to maximize the welfare of the community
Allocative efficiency: Value we place on health improvements are equal to their costs
If the market isn't a useful mechanism to help identify the best way to allocate scare resources, we need
to find other ways to determine where our spending is most valuable
Efficiency (3 types)
Social welfare: costs and benefits for individuals and society for different choices
Getting value for our spending on health care requires thinking about:
How do we best allocate these resources?
Economic Efficiency and Health
Both direct and indirect costs
CBA measures costs and benefits in dollars
Cost-Benefit Analysis
Lecture 7 - Valuing Health: QALYs and Cost-Effectiveness
Analysis
Tuesday, January 30, 2018
1:35 PM
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Both direct and indirect costs
Measure benefit convert that benefit into dollars
Incremental net benefit > 0
Incremental benefit/cost ratio > 1
Allocative efficiency
Social welfare will improve if marginal benefits > marginal costs
Valuing opportunity costs, externalities and social benefits that have no market for pricing
A dollar in the future is worth less than a dollar today - typical discount rate = 3%
What does this impose on future generations?
Discounting future costs and benefits
Allocative efficiency requires equalizing marginal benefit/cost ratios across health interventions
Ethical and political concerns often make this difficult or impossible to implement in practice
Equity vs efficiency
CBA doesn't have anything to say about whether this is equitable or not
Distribution of costs and benefits
Human capital approach: present value of an individual's future earnings
Limited by ability to pay
Willingness to pay to avoid risks
e.g. compensating wage differentials
Willingness to accept compensation for taking risks
Valuing a human life
CBA Challenges
Human capital approach: present value of an individual's future earnings
Willingness to pay to avoid risks / limited ability to pay
Where do willingness to pay/accept estimates come from?
Rates of seatbelt usage, willingness to pay for a fire alarm in a house or an airbag in a car, willingness to
pay (reduced wage) for a safer job
What form can they take?
Are we willing to pay more throughout our lives so we can receive treatment if and when we need it?
(intangible)
Willingness to pay for health insurance
Estimates of value of life across studies: $3 - 7 million
Its not meant to be applied to the value of saving the life of an identified person (i.e., the value of
changing the risk of mortality from 1 to 0)
Marginal change in mortality risk
The Value of a Statistical Life (VSL) is a way to summarize the value of small reductions in mortality risks
(marginal change in mortality risk)
"Real" vs "Statistical" lives
Constant across individuals?
Across age?
Value of a life:
CBA Challenges: Value of a Life
Compares the costs of achieving a non-monetary outcome, such as lives saved
Objective assumed desirable
Ratio of marginal cost to marginal output (effect)
Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER):
CEA is used where the outcome is measured in the same units across choices and we're trying to determine the
most efficient one
e.g., can't compare meds that help eyesight and meds that help the heart)
Cost-effect and outcome are measured in the same units across choices
Incremental effectiveness of intervention and cost
Produce a chosen level of output from among alternative production methods at the lowest possible cost
Question of productive efficiency - how much health can we produce for a dollar?
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
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Document Summary

Lecture 7 - valuing health: qalys and cost-effectiveness. Valuing the impact of a policy, health intervention, or new health technology. How much the marginal benefit of the new drug is worth to people. Estimating the impacts of alternative regulations on tobacco use. Impacts on morbidity, productivity, foregone health care spending (both smokers and non-smokers) Assessing the economic benefits of these reductions in tobacco use and subsequent health effects. Determining the economic costs of implementing these regulations. Losses to consumer surplus from limiting individual choice (value of those costs) Efficiency requires that we maximize health outcomes gained from the resources allocated to healthcare. Productive efficiency: maximization of health outcome for a given cost, or the minimization of a cost for a given outcome. Here, we fix the amount of $ (flexibility across inputs) Allocative efficiency: value we place on health improvements are equal to their costs. Concerned with opportunity costs and mb = mc.

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