PSYC 1100 Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery, Representativeness Heuristic, Availability Heuristic
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Disease, crime, social problems, car problems, environmental, global warming, etc. Kahneman 2002 nobel prize winner in economic science. Says we are much more likely to behave according to our personal experience as opposed to changing behaviour based on stats. Availability heuristic; what comes to mind to support your thinking. Representative heuristic; your data is not representative of the true state of affairs. 1802 patients at six hospitals randomly divided into three groups. Group 1 received prayers and didn"t know. Group 2 did not receive prayers and didn"t know. Group 3 received prayers and knew it. Templeton investigated the effects of prayer on patient"s recovery from coronary bypass surgery. Results: no differences between group 1 and 2 (prayer vs no prayer), group 3 got worse probably because of performance anxiety , american heart journal (april 2016) Illusionary correlation (focus on confirming vs. non-confirming evidence) A true correlation has predictive value but may not show a casual, a causes b, relationship.