PHIL 220 Lecture Notes - Lecture 12: Bayesian Probability, Inductive Reasoning, Deductive Reasoning
10 May 2016
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Le recall: defend the answers about what science can and should do by: Developing a system of inductive logic (sil) and. Combining it with observations to form objective evidence. Deductive argument is rarely used in science, because claims in science are probabilistic (inductive argument). Inductive arguments are only probabilistic, the stronger premises you have, the stronger your probabilistic conclusion becomes: example rules from a sil: If hypothesis h is subjected to a test t which can falsify h but doesn"t, then the results objectively inductively confirm h. If you see 10,000 birds and they are all also dinosaurs, then this is objective inductive evidence that all birds are dinosaurs. Silx vs. sily: think of sil as a set of reasoning rules that can be published as a textbook: Each sil tells you how strong or weak some data serves as evidence for a conclusion.
